Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.222209 0.236436 0.251380 0.268292 0.286958 0.306996 0.330219
2025-02-16 0.183991 0.204107 0.226617 0.253901 0.286387 0.324234 0.372273
2025-02-23 0.161750 0.185128 0.212587 0.247732 0.292297 0.348049 0.424991
2025-03-02 0.145585 0.170623 0.201149 0.241948 0.296433 0.368887 0.476708
2025-03-09 0.133979 0.160071 0.192871 0.238339 0.301850 0.391070 0.533596
2025-03-16 0.124764 0.151453 0.185873 0.235095 0.306609 0.412179 0.592475
2025-03-23 0.119573 0.147440 0.184306 0.238714 0.321054 0.449222 0.685061
2025-03-30 0.112883 0.140828 0.178512 0.235486 0.324509 0.469128 0.752442
2025-04-06 0.105861 0.133248 0.170724 0.228457 0.320969 0.476531 0.797664
2025-04-13 0.099673 0.126425 0.163499 0.221558 0.316700 0.481759 0.839562
2025-04-20 0.096574 0.123714 0.161952 0.223141 0.326457 0.513504 0.947982
2025-04-27 0.094330 0.122052 0.161772 0.226758 0.339977 0.554565 1.093233
2025-05-04 0.090731 0.118332 0.158410 0.225172 0.344522 0.579643 1.211598
2025-05-11 0.087016 0.114287 0.154360 0.222198 0.346354 0.599908 1.328070
2025-05-18 0.083844 0.110890 0.151107 0.220303 0.350012 0.625029 1.473694
2025-05-25 0.080521 0.107107 0.147026 0.216646 0.349814 0.641427 1.601205
2025-06-01 0.077684 0.103922 0.143707 0.214042 0.351375 0.662360 1.759673
2025-06-08 0.075062 0.100943 0.140545 0.211452 0.352623 0.682801 1.932244
2025-06-15 0.073814 0.100004 0.140596 0.214609 0.366185 0.738121 2.308402
2025-06-22 0.071482 0.097281 0.137578 0.211879 0.366738 0.758498 2.538539
2025-06-29 0.068661 0.093692 0.132971 0.205878 0.359448 0.755266 2.639477
2025-07-06 0.066013 0.090290 0.128543 0.199967 0.351839 0.749921 2.728333
2025-07-13 0.064861 0.089211 0.127954 0.201327 0.360942 0.796978 3.218014